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Economics

The Bonfire Ban

A brand-new coat can be worth more to a firm destroyed than discounted. Here is the arithmetic — and the one thing no British label has to tell you.

Why some unsold new clothes are destroyed rather than discounted, what the EU's 19 July 2026 ban changes, and why Britain copied neither it nor its disclosure duty.

Economic Analyst
Published: 3 July 202630 min read21 sources5,827 words...

There is a number sitting inside a corporate annual report, published eight years ago, that almost nobody was meant to notice. In its accounts for the year to March 2018, Burberry disclosed that "the cost of finished goods physically destroyed in the year was £28.6 million," of which £10.4 million was beauty stock.1 Not sold at a loss. Not given away. Destroyed — new, never-worn, never-used goods, written off the books and disposed of. The company said it did this to protect the brand and stop its products leaking into grey markets and counterfeits; that September, its chief executive pledged to stop.2

Here is the uncomfortable thing about that £28.6 million. It is the clearest, most reliable figure of its kind we have — and it is eight years old, from the one company that chose to write it down in a public filing and then chose to stop. There is no equivalent figure for 2025. Not because the practice ended in 2018, but because almost nobody else has ever been required to publish it. We reach back to Burberry not because Burberry is the villain of this story. We reach back because it is the last time anyone could see the number at all.

What happened to that stock is not an aberration; it is the visible edge of something ordinary. Unsold clothes have to go somewhere, and the choice of where — the decision that looks monstrous from the outside, burning brand-new stock while the same brand's "conscious" rail promises you a better way to shop — turns out, on the ledger, to be the coldly rational one. That ledger is about to change. On 19 July 2026 the European Union makes destroying unsold clothing illegal for large companies, and does something quieter alongside it that matters more than the ban. Great Britain has copied neither — and it is the quieter thing, not the ban, whose absence a British shopper will feel.

Most of it is resold. This is about the rest.

Start with the correction that keeps everyone honest, because the loudest version of this story is wrong. Brands do not torch most of what they make. The European Environment Agency, which has looked harder at this than anyone, is blunt about it: "Most are resold or sold in outlets. However, the destruction of returned and unsold clothing and other textile products has been happening in the fashion and textile industry."3

Read that twice, because the whole argument lives in the gap between its two sentences. Most unsold stock clears — through markdowns, outlet stores, off-price channels, the sale rail. What does not clear is a residual: the stock that will not sell at any price above what it costs to get rid of it. The EEA estimates that residual at 4 to 9 per cent of all textiles put on the European market — somewhere between 264,000 and 594,000 tonnes destroyed every year, before anyone has worn a stitch of it.3

Four to nine per cent sounds like a rounding error. Hold that thought; it is the exact reaction this report has to earn its way past. Because the question is not whether the residual is large as a percentage. It is why a brand-new coat ends up in an incinerator rather than on a back, and whether you — standing at the rail, reading the swing-tag manifesto about responsible sourcing — have any way at all to find out that it does.

The discount that costs more than the match

To see why destruction is rational, you have to stop thinking like a shopper and start reading the ledger the way a finance director does. A garment that has not sold is not a neutral thing waiting patiently for a buyer. It is a liability that costs money every day it exists.

Consider what the brand's options actually are for a piece of stock that the main season could not shift. It can discount it — but a deep markdown does two things at once. It trains customers to wait for the next sale instead of paying full price, and it drags down the perceived value of everything still hanging at full price beside it. For a brand built on the idea that its clothes are worth what they cost, a bargain bin is not a clearance; it is an admission. Then there is the cost of simply holding the stock: warehouse space, insurance, capital tied up in coats that are ageing out of fashion by the week. And then there is the part of the ledger that turns out to have your handwriting on it.

A very large share of unsold stock is not stock that never sold. It is stock that sold and came back. The average return rate for clothing bought online in Europe is around one in five.3 And a returned garment is expensive to resurrect. By the time it has been shipped back, opened, inspected, cleaned, repackaged and put back into the system, the brand recovers only 40 to 60 per cent of the item's value, "if at all" — on the analysis of one management consultancy that studied apparel returns closely.4 The handling alone can eat a fifth to two-fifths of what the item is worth, and more once everything is loaded in.4,5 Fashion returns cost UK retailers an estimated £7 billion in 2022.5

So here is the ledger for a single returned garment, drawn from those published ranges:

THE DISPOSAL LEDGER — one returned garment (illustrative, from published figures)

  What the brand recovers if it resells it:   40–60p in the £  (often less)
  What processing the return costs:            20–40p in the £  (up to 66p loaded)
  What destroying it costs:                    the disposal fee, and no more
  What GIVING IT AWAY used to cost (pre-2026): the disposal, PLUS a tax charge

When the cost of getting a garment ready to sell again is larger than what it will sell for, the cheapest line on the page is the last one. Not the cruellest. The cheapest. This is the sentence the whole report turns on: destruction is not the callous choice. It is the loss-minimising choice, and the two are not the same thing.

That returns row deserves a second look, because it is the one row on this ledger that you did not think you were signing. The habit of ordering three sizes to keep one, of buying to try at home, of treating free returns as a right — that habit was not your invention. It was engineered, deliberately, by sellers who worked out that free and frictionless returns win customers, and who built the reverse-logistics cost into the price of acquiring you. You are not the author of this ledger. But your returned parcel is one of the millions of inputs that make the returns row the size it is, and the returns row is the one that most often tips a garment past the point where reselling it is worth more than destroying it. You did not design the loop. You are simply, quietly, inside it — which, as we will see, is also the most useful place to be standing.

This, incidentally, is a different argument from the one this analyst made in an earlier report, The Arithmetic of Cheap, which showed why an £8 shirt cannot be made honestly for £8 — the maths of production. This is the maths of the other end: what happens to a garment that was made, priced, shipped, and then did not sell. The cost floor of making it and the disposal ledger of not selling it are two separate sums. Both come out the same way.

The tax code pointed the wrong way — and the state admits it

There is one line on that ledger that is small in pounds and enormous in what it reveals. Until this year, the British tax system made giving unsold stock away more expensive than binning it — but only in one specific, telling way.

If a business donated goods to a charity for the charity to sell — the charity-shop route — that had long been zero-rated for VAT; no charge.6,7 But if a business donated goods for the charity to give away free, or to use in delivering its services — that is, to hand clothes directly to people who needed them — the business could owe VAT on those goods, if it had reclaimed the VAT when it bought them.6,7 Destroy the same goods, and there was no such charge; destroyed stock is not a supply, so no VAT falls due.7

HMRC's own consultation on the problem states the mechanism plainly: donate for onward sale and you are covered, but "if a business donates goods for any other purpose, including for the charity to give them away free of charge, or use in the delivery of their services, it must pay VAT to HMRC on those goods if it recovered any VAT on their purchase."6

Sit with that. For deadstock that a charity would give away rather than resell, the tax code made the incinerator cheaper than the food bank. From 1 April 2026, a new relief removes exactly that charge, capped at £100 per item — £200 for certain essential electrical and household items.8,9

Now, the honest size of this. The VAT on giving away an £8 dress is small — a pound or two — and against the cost of actually sorting and shipping that dress to a charity, it was never the main reason cheap stock stayed unwanted. And the £100 cap means the relief does not reach the £600 coat or the £300 bag at all — precisely the tier where protecting the price by destroying the stock is most rational. So this is not the reason the bonfire exists, and it does not claim to be. Its power is not its magnitude. Its power is that the state wrote the perverse incentive down in its own hand, and has now conceded it. When even the tax code points toward destruction over donation, you begin to see how deep the grain of the wood runs.

Why "just recycle it" is a door painted on a wall

The reasonable objection, at this point, is obvious. If the brand will not discount it, hold it, or give it away, why not recycle it? Turn the unsold coat back into fibre and make another coat.

Because, for the most part, that cannot yet be done. Less than 1 per cent of the material used to make clothing is recycled back into new clothing, on the Ellen MacArthur Foundation's analysis; for polyester spun back into new textile fibre, the figure is under one-tenth of 1 per cent.10,11 The reason is physical, not moral: most garments are blends — polyester woven through cotton, elastane threaded for stretch, dyes and finishes and trims — and separating a blend cleanly back into usable raw fibre is a chemistry that mostly still lives in pilot plants, not at industrial scale. What passes for textile recycling today is largely down-cycling: shredding cloth into insulation, wiping rags, mattress filling — a one-way step down, not a loop back.

This is the fact that hardens the whole ledger. Destruction does not merely beat discounting on cost; for a great deal of unsold stock, the recycling alternative everyone assumes is available is not actually there to be chosen. "Just recycle it" is a door painted on a wall. Which is also why the coming rule had to be written the way it was — a point worth arriving at slowly.

The oldest reflex in economics

Before the rule, though, it helps to know that none of this is new, and that clothing is only the latest commodity to meet it. Destroying useful goods to hold a price up is one of the oldest moves in market economics, and it recurs whenever scarcity pays better than abundance.

In the early 1930s, with coffee prices collapsing, Brazil's state coffee authority deliberately burned enormous quantities of coffee — tens of millions of bags over several years — to prop the price up.12 In the same Depression, the United States passed a law that paid farmers to destroy what they had grown: around six million pigs slaughtered, crops ploughed back under, on the explicit logic that less supply meant firmer prices.13 The image of want in the middle of plenty — food destroyed while people went hungry — was the scandal of its age.

There is a seam in this analogy, and it must be named rather than smoothed over. The coffee and the pigs were destroyed by governments running deliberate price-support policy. Unsold clothes are destroyed by private firms protecting their own prices. The actor is different and the mechanism is different. What is shared is the pattern: when the incentives reward scarcity, saleable goods get destroyed, and the destruction is rational for whoever holds the match. That is worth knowing for one reason above all. It tells you that outrage is not the lever. Coffee did not stop burning because people were appalled. It stopped when the sums changed. The same will be true here.

The rule, and the quieter thing behind it

So to the date. On 19 July 2026, Article 25 of the European Union's Ecodesign for Sustainable Products Regulation makes it illegal for large companies to destroy unsold clothing and footwear. Medium-sized firms follow in 2030; the smallest are exempt for now. The regulation's own words: "From 19 July 2026, the destruction of unsold consumer products as listed in Annex VII shall be prohibited."14 Clothing and shoes are the very first category of product the EU has ever banned firms from destroying.

Two things about this rule matter more than the headline, and both cut against overselling it.

The first is that the ban is leakier than it looks. It comes with ten written exemptions — for goods that are dangerous, counterfeit, genuinely damaged, unsellable for health or safety reasons, and more.15 Some destruction is, honestly, unavoidable, and the law rightly allows it; when a Danish television investigation reported that H&M had burned tonnes of unsold clothing, the company's answer was that the stock was unsellable for safety and mould reasons — which, if true, is exactly the exempt category, not the scandal.16

Beyond the exemptions, critics point out that a firm can potentially route unsold stock into the "waste" system, where different rules apply, or push it into export markets outside the EU altogether.15 A ban measured at Europe's border does not stop the stock; it can simply move it. Some of it lands in places like Kantamanto market in Accra, where a large share of imported secondhand clothing arrives as effective waste — by the contested estimate of one campaigning group.17 Forcing a brand not to burn a coat in Rotterdam does not guarantee the coat is worn; it may only change the postcode of where it is discarded.

The second thing is the one that actually matters, and it is not the ban at all. Sitting alongside the prohibition is a disclosure duty: large firms will have to publish, annually, how much unsold stock they discard and why.14 That is the quiet revolution. The ban tries to stop the burning and does so imperfectly. The disclosure duty makes the burning countable — and countability, as the coffee and the pigs and the whole history of this reflex show, is what actually changes behaviour. Remember why we could name Burberry's £28.6 million at all: because Burberry, once, chose to disclose it. The disclosure duty makes that choice mandatory. It converts a number that used to depend on a company's conscience into one that depends on the law.

Which is the exact thing Great Britain has not copied.

The passport that is coming, slowly

There is a second tool in the EU's kit, and it is worth being carefully unexciting about it, because it is easy to oversell and I would rather you trusted the rest of this report. It is the Digital Product Passport — the idea that eventually a shopper will scan a code on a garment and see its make-up, its origins, its recyclability.

Eventually is the operative word. The underlying registry is 2026 infrastructure; the specific rules for textiles are expected around 2027; and a mandatory passport on a piece of clothing is realistically a 2028-or-later reality, rolled out in stages.18 When it arrives, it will let you check what a garment is made of and how to dispose of it. It will not, on day one, let you scan a tag and see whether the brand burns its unsold stock. That information — how much a company discards and why — lives in the separate annual disclosure duty described above, published on a company's website for a regulator and the public to read, not encoded in the label in your hand. Anyone who tells you that from mid-2026 you will be able to scan and see who burns stock is describing a future that is real but years off, and conflating two different tools. The near-term reality is the disclosure duty. And Britain has that duty nowhere on its books.

Derby and Dublin

Here is the divergence, and I want to keep it to a single movement, because "the EU acts, Britain lags" is a tune you have heard, and it is not the point of this piece.

From 19 July 2026, a large fashion company faces a legal prohibition on destroying unsold clothing in Dublin and a legal requirement to disclose what it discards. The same company, operating in Derby, faces neither. Britain has copied the ban and copied the disclosure duty exactly as far as zero. What it has instead is a voluntary agreement — the UK Textiles Pact (formerly Textiles 2030), which firms sign up to willingly — and a live but unlegislated discussion about making textile producers responsible for waste; the Environment Act 2021 already handed ministers the power to act on this, and it sits unused for clothing.19,20 The one disposal lever Britain actually moved this year is the VAT relief we met earlier, which eases giving cheap stock away and does nothing about destroying it.

The point is not that Britain is reckless. It is that a shopper in Derby has strictly less to go on than a shopper in Dublin will — and that the specific thing she lacks is not the ban, which leaks, but the disclosure, which is the part that would let her see the ledger at all.

The steelman, stated fairly

Now the argument against everything above, put as strongly as I can put it, because if it is right you should stop reading and go about your Saturday.

It runs like this. Overproduction is not malice; every retailer that avoids empty shelves will carry some unsold stock, and forecasting demand perfectly is impossible. Of that stock, the market already recovers the overwhelming majority — the EEA says most is resold. The destroyed remainder is small, 4 to 9 per cent, and much of it genuinely cannot be sold safely or legally — the exempt core everyone, including this report, concedes. Reputational pressure already moved the biggest name without a law: Burberry stopped in 2018. Britain removed the VAT disincentive in April 2026. The EU bans the residual in July 2026. So a self-correcting market, a reputational mechanism, and two dated reforms are converging on this problem already — and a report urging you to scrutinise a shrinking residual, using a marquee example that fixed itself eight years ago, is describing a problem in the act of being solved.

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It is a good argument. Here is where it fails, on two grounds it cannot touch.

The first is that none of those fixes reaches you. The ban is European; it does not run in Derby. The VAT relief stops at £100 an item, which is to say it stops exactly where destroying-to-protect-a-price begins. The passport is years away and, in Britain, un-adopted. Every reassuring development in that paragraph is happening on the other side of a line you are standing on the wrong side of. The residual being handled tidily elsewhere does not give a British shopper a single new thing she can check. The gap this report describes is not that the residual exists. It is that you cannot verify any of it, and nothing here requires anyone to tell you.

The second is that a percentage is the wrong way to weigh a destroyed garment. A new coat that is destroyed unworn is not 4 to 9 per cent of a coat. It is a whole coat — and worse, it is a coat carrying the entire weight of what it cost the world to make: the water, the energy, the carbon, all of it already spent, and now written off against zero wear. The residual is not the cheap offcut of the system. It is the most finished, most resource-laden, most recoverable stock there is, discarded at the moment of maximum embodied cost. The EEA puts the upper estimate of the emissions from Europe's destroyed textiles at up to 5.6 million tonnes of CO₂-equivalent a year.3 A small percentage of an enormous, fully-loaded number is still an enormous number.

None of this rests on a certainty that cannot move; the conclusion sits on a gap that is, by its nature, an absence — and absences can be filled. Several specific things would change it. If a large British retailer began voluntarily publishing what it discards and why — the disclosure this report says is missing — the information gap would close for that brand, and the report should say so plainly. If robust data emerged showing the destroyed residual has fallen sharply since 2018 under reputational pressure alone, the case that "only a rule changes the sum" would weaken, and the reader should weigh that honestly; the evidence today shows the residual persisting at scale into 2024, years after the marquee name pledged to stop, but a genuine downward trend would matter. If Britain legislated a textiles disclosure duty under the powers the Environment Act 2021 already grants, the central complaint of this report would be met. And if the reverse-logistics figures this report leans on — the 40-to-60-per-cent recovery, the returns processing cost — were shown to be materially lower in practice than the published ranges suggest, the ledger's central claim that destruction beats reselling for the residual would soften.

The strongest version of the counter-case — that a mostly self-correcting market with two dated reforms inbound is a solved problem — is answered not by denying the reforms but by noting that none of them reaches a British shopper, and that the residual, however small in percentage, is the highest-cost slice of the system discarded at the moment of zero wear. If both of those ceased to be true — if the reforms crossed the Channel and the embodied cost of a destroyed new garment turned out to be trivial — this report would have far less to say. Neither is true today.

The Case

So: someone is paying the real price of the clothes that do not sell, and it is not only you. It is paid by the water and carbon already spent on a coat that will be burned unworn. It is paid, sometimes, by a market in Accra that inherits the stock a ban pushed across a border. And it is paid by every shopper who reads "conscious" or "responsible" on a swing-tag and takes it, reasonably, as a statement about the whole life of the garment — when it is a statement about the fabric and the marketing, and says nothing whatever about what happens to the ones that do not sell.

That is not a lie on the label. Everything the label says may be true. It is a silence, and the silence is legal, because nothing in Britain requires it to be broken. There is a mild psychological trap folded into it, too: research on what is sometimes called moral licensing finds that people who have just made a virtuous purchase can feel freer to be less careful next time — an effect whose size is debated, but whose direction fits the pattern.21 The reassuring tag does not only fail to tell you about the bonfire. It can quietly make you buy the second thing.

The Question

Which lets us state, plainly, the thing a British shopper genuinely cannot answer today:

When you buy a new garment — including from the "conscious" or "sustainable" rail you chose precisely in order to shop well — can you find out whether the brand destroys the unsold, never-worn stock of those same clothes, a residual the maths make cheaper to burn than to clear? Or does the tag certify the fabric and the marketing while saying nothing about the bonfire — and is there, anywhere in Britain, a rule that requires the brand to tell you?

The answer, for now, is no. Not because brands are torching warehouses out of spite — most stock is resold, and the destruction is the cold arithmetic of a residual, not a conspiracy. But because the one thing that would let you see it — a duty to disclose what is discarded and why — exists across the Channel and nowhere on this side of it.

The Levers

You do not need to rage-quit fashion, and this report is not asking you to. The residual is real but it is a residual; the honest move is to choose informed and buy a little less, not to burn your wardrobe in protest. Here is what actually helps, in rough order of leverage.

Return less, and keep longer. This is the row of the ledger you personally sit on. Not because your one parcel becomes one burned coat — it does not work like that — but because the free-returns habit, engineered to win your custom, feeds the reverse-logistics cost that tips the residual toward destruction in aggregate. Ordering to try, and sending back the surplus, is the single behaviour most directly wired into the row that decides a garment's fate. Buying to keep, and returning only what genuinely does not work, quietly shrinks it. It costs nothing and requires buying nothing.

Buy secondhand where you can. A garment bought used is a garment kept in wear rather than added to the overproduced pile whose tail is the bonfire. Resale platforms, charity shops, and the growing take-back and resale schemes run by brands themselves all do this.

Prefer the brands that publish what they do. This is the durable one. The tag on the front tells you about fabric. What you want is a brand that publishes, somewhere you can read it, a policy on unsold stock — a stated no-destruction commitment, a resale or take-back or repair programme, or a made-to-order line that does not overproduce in the first place. A brand that runs these can answer "what happens to what you don't sell?" in a sentence. A brand that cannot will send you a sustainability page that talks only about cotton. The question to hold in your head at the rail is not "is this ethical?" but "does this company tell me what happens to the ones that don't sell — and if I can't find that anywhere, why not?"

Watch the passport, but do not wait for it. The Digital Product Passport will, over the next few years, let you check a European garment's make-up and recyclability. It is a real tool arriving slowly, not a switch flipping in 2026, and in Britain it is not arriving at all yet. Treat it as a horizon, not a plan.

And the systemic fix, the one worth backing when a consultation or a candidate asks: not merely a ban on destroying unsold clothes, which leaks, but the quieter, sturdier thing beside it — a legal duty for large retailers to disclose how much unsold stock they discard and why. That is the part of the European rule that would actually let a shopper see the ledger, and it is the exact part Britain has not copied. The ban tries to stop the burning. The disclosure makes it countable. History says the second one is what changes the sum.

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